I think it might get partitioned like Germany did. It would help the Western narrative engine to draw those parallels and it would allow the West to continue operating and building power while requiring Russia’s constant attention.
Russia cannot occupy Ukraine and is unlikely to physically invade and occupy Kyiv directly. It is also unlikely that Russia will spend the resources to do to Ukraine what the US did to Korea.
While Russia is unlikely to occupy all of Ukraine, they’re certainly capable of demilitarizing Ukraine and putting in a Russia friendly government in charge of whatever remains of Ukraine in the end. Ultimately, the core motivation for the war was to keep NATO out of Ukraine. Stopping short of that would not solve the underlying problem.
I think it might get partitioned like Germany did. It would help the Western narrative engine to draw those parallels and it would allow the West to continue operating and building power while requiring Russia’s constant attention.
Russia cannot occupy Ukraine and is unlikely to physically invade and occupy Kyiv directly. It is also unlikely that Russia will spend the resources to do to Ukraine what the US did to Korea.
While Russia is unlikely to occupy all of Ukraine, they’re certainly capable of demilitarizing Ukraine and putting in a Russia friendly government in charge of whatever remains of Ukraine in the end. Ultimately, the core motivation for the war was to keep NATO out of Ukraine. Stopping short of that would not solve the underlying problem.